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The ongoing trade war has prompted Canadian Pacific Kansas City Railway to reduce its guidance for 2025.

**Canadian Pacific Kansas City Lowers Financial Outlook Amid Trade Uncertainty**

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. has revised its financial projections for the year, citing the unpredictability stemming from the U.S. administration’s tariff and trade policies. The Calgary-based railway company has adjusted its earnings per share growth forecast to a range of 10% to 14%, down from the previous estimate of 12% to 18% on an adjusted diluted basis. As Canada’s second-largest railway, CPKC is particularly vulnerable to the ongoing trade tensions, given its extensive network that spans from Mexico to Canada.

Chief Executive Officer Keith Creel emphasized the need for this adjustment, stating, “The increasing uncertainty created by evolving trade policies and the heightened risk of economic recession make it prudent to amend our 2025 earnings guidance at this time.” Following the announcement, CPKC’s shares experienced a decline of over 2% in after-hours trading in New York, although they later recovered some of those losses.

In the first quarter, CPKC reported revenues of C$3.8 billion, marking a 7.8% increase compared to the same period last year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose by 14% to C$1.06, surpassing analyst expectations for both metrics. This growth was driven by increased freight revenues from various sectors, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and automotive.

During the quarter, duties on steel, aluminum, and non-compliant imported goods were implemented, although President Trump’s global reciprocal tariffs and auto sector levies had not yet been announced. CPKC acknowledged its responsibility to assist customers in diversifying their markets. Creel noted, “We stepped into this trade storm that we’re facing to become market makers. We’re seeing opportunities with new trade flows between Canada and Mexico.”

However, he expressed concerns regarding the automotive sector, describing it as presenting “some risk and choppiness.” Creel also highlighted the importance of monitoring steel tariffs and collaborating with customers on alternative solutions. Looking ahead, he stated, “As I look ahead to the new crop harvest in the U.S., we’ll certainly be watching how our soybean movements progress.”

In summary, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. is navigating a challenging landscape influenced by trade uncertainties, prompting a cautious adjustment to its financial outlook while continuing to seek opportunities for growth.

**FAQ**

**What factors led to Canadian Pacific Kansas City lowering its financial outlook?**

The company lowered its financial outlook due to uncertainties related to the U.S. administration’s tariff and trade policies, which have heightened risks of economic recession and impacted trade flows. 

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