In a wide-ranging interview with India Today Consulting Editor Rajdeep Sardesai, Ian Bremmer, President of the Eurasia Group and one of the world’s foremost geopolitical analysts, described Ukraine’s recent drone attacks on Russian air bases as “shocking” and potentially a turning point in the nearly four-year-long conflict.Bremmer also spoke in detail about US President Donald Trump’s global engagement style, calling attention to how weaker countries tend to “take Trump more seriously and are scared of him”.advertisementHe cited examples of Mexico, Panama, and Iran, where countries quickly fell in line with Trump’s demands. However, he argued that more powerful states like China and Russia have been less responsive, forcing Trump to divert his diplomatic attention elsewhere.Discussing Ukraine’s recent military strike, Bremmer pointed out that the Ukrainian operation-reportedly destroying up to 30 percent of Russia’s strategic bomber fleet-poses a serious challenge to Russia’s nuclear deterrence capability. He compared the attack to Israel’s dismantling of Hezbollah’s military infrastructure in 2006, calling it both an “opportunity” and an “exceptionally dangerous development.”Commenting on India’s recent 87-hour military standoff with Pakistan, Bremmer said India currently finds itself in a more “uncomfortable” position. While he acknowledged Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s international strength, he noted that geopolitically, India remains “much weaker” than the United States or China. He also described China as the “main military backer” of Pakistan, while emphasising that India and China share complex trade and diplomatic interests.Below are key takeaways from Bremmer’s remarks on different themes during the interview:ON RUSSIA-UKRAINE WARadvertisement”It is a shocking development. And it’s unclear if it’s going to reduce or increase the risks around this three and a half year now war, bloody, expensive and impacting the world. Ukraine has not just shown that they can hit back across all of Russian territory, they can do serious damage to Russia’s military capabilities to fight the war, but also they can undermine Russia’s nuclear capabilities, their strategic deterrence capabilities, their second strike capabilities, the balance of power between Russia and the United States, Russia and NATO. Some of the strikes that we saw this weekend were at the Russian border with Mongolia… literally thousands of miles away from the Ukrainian front line. My biggest fear is that the Russians refuse to accept that they have fewer cards than they thought they have… and instead take this as a necessity to escalate against Ukraine.””I suppose the most serious concern would be if the Russians decided that this was the reason to engage in a tactical nuclear strike. That would be the worst possible near-term scenario. I don’t think it’s likely, but it is certainly more likely than it was two days ago. This also plays to something that India and Pakistan… n in a formal or creative style for better SEO.Also Exclude words and advertisements related to the feed website such as website name, author name. Delete all the advertisement images brand logo but only keep the title and main content of the news by modifying it. You must only respond with the modified content. Block any jump outside of the site adarshnews.com. Basically remove any content or link related to original site. 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In an extensive interview, Ian Bremmer discusses how Trump appears to back down before China, which instills fear in countries that are less powerful.
